thesis代写

美国论文不会写怎么办:中国经济的增长

美国论文不会写怎么办:中国经济的增长

近年来,中国快速增长的经济正面临放缓。生产价格等增长指标下降(图3),2015年GDP为6.9%,上年为7.3%。由于中国经济是世界经济指数的主要贡献者,全球对中国经济放缓的担忧十分严重。多年来,中国经济一直依赖制造业的出口。现在问题来了,这种策略将足以拉回经济在原有的快速ace增长趋势。资本家和学者们认为,在特定的环境下,中国需要一个平衡的私人消费主导的经济增长。自从共产党接管中国以来,中国经济逐渐放缓。究其原因,主要是因为当前政府正试图改变以贸易和投资为基础的国家经济模式,新模式由国内消费驱动,并承诺在未来几年实现自我持续增长(中国经济,2016)。然而,考虑到中国经济完全依赖出口,这是不公平的。麦肯锡(McKinsey)的一项研究显示,中国的GDP对出口的依赖程度较低,进而被全球所认知。

美国论文不会写怎么办:中国经济的增长
在麦肯锡,他们评估了一个叫做国内增值出口(DVAE)的指标。他们用这种方法精确地分析了出口在中国经济增长中所起的作用。当从总出口中,减去生产最终出口的商品和服务过程中使用的进口,我们得到麦肯锡所称的DVAE。就象汽车工业一样,用于制造出口摩托车的发动机零件的进口从总出口中减去。在此不减运至该国供消费的制成品进口。根据这些假设,计算得出的DVAE预测,尽管出口对中国经济增长起到了重要的推动作用,但并非完全主导。人们普遍认为,中国的增长基本面高估了出口的作用。人们几乎忘记了,国内消费等其他因素也是中国经济增长的重要驱动力(Horn, Singer and Wetzel, 2010)。

美国论文不会写怎么办:中国经济的增长

In the recent years China is facing slowdown in its very quickly growing economy. Production prices and other growth indicators are falling (Fig. 3). GDP for 2015 was 6.9% which in the previous year was 7.3%. Since Chinese economy is major contributor to the world economy index, its’ slowdown is seen with grave concerns globally. For several years, Chinese economy has been dependent on the exports of its manufacturing sector. Now the question arises, this tactic will be sufficient to pull back the economy in the original fast ace growth trend. The capitalists and scholars believe that China needs a balanced private consumption-led economy growth in the given circumstances. Ever since the Communist Party has undertake the command of China, its’ economy has slowed down gradually. The reason for this is mainly because the current government is attempting to change the country’s economic model whose roots are in trade and investment, with the new model driven by domestic consumption and promises to be show self – sustained growth in the coming years (Chinese economy, 2016). However, considering that the Chinese economy is solely dependent on its exports that would not be fair.As per a study conducted by McKinsey, the GDP of China showed lesser dependency on the exports, and then it is perceived globally.

美国论文不会写怎么办:中国经济的增长
At McKinsey they evaluated a measure called domestic value-added exports (DVAE). They used this methodology to analyze precisely the role played by exports in the growth of Chinese economy. When from the total exports, the imports which are used in the process of producing the goods and services that are eventually exported are subtracted, and we get what McKinsey named DVAE. Like in the case of automobile industry, the imports of engine parts which are used to make motorbikes for the purpose of export are subtracted from total exports. The finished imports, which are brought to the country for consumption, are not subtracted here. Using these hypotheses, the calculated DVAE projected that even though the exports play important driving role on the growth of Chinese economy, they are not entirely dominating. There is a general perception about the Chinese growth fundamentals which overestimates the role of exports. It is nearly forgotten that other factors like domestic consumption is also an important driver for the growth of economy in China (Horn, Singer and Wetzel, 2010).