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加拿大论文代写:石油市场的预估

加拿大论文代写:石油市场的预估

最近几年,英国石油公司像大多数同行一样面临着严峻的市场形势。其中一些问题来自于较低的市场价格,2015年价格下降了50%以上。按照主席报告的说法,问题不在于全球需求不足,而在于市场总体供应过剩。然而,英国石油公司在应对油价下跌方面处于有利地位,因为众所周知,墨西哥湾的新生产流程成本较低,因此对公司利润的贡献更高。在全球范围内,2016年的经济增长被认为是疲弱的,全球GDP增长预计将继续低于3%。

加拿大论文代写:石油市场的预估
在增长缓慢和发达国家复苏尚未见顶的背景下,发展中市场的石油需求复苏低于预期。特别是在美国市场的需求依然疲软,因为是大规模的页岩油产量增加几个美国德州等。这些页岩油生产不会长期稳定和盈利,但是随着现在生产的增加和当地生产推动美国需求下降,这是最大的能源消费者和燃料相关的全球供应。预计油价仍将继续走低,复苏预计将在6-8个季度后到来。预计未来几个季度的价格将会疲软,并将持续一段极端变化的时期(Sadorsky, 2001)。

加拿大论文代写:石油市场的预估

British petroleum of late like most of the peers has faced challenging market conditions in the recent years. Some of the problems have arisen from low market price and prices have fallen by more than 50% in 2015. The problem as per the chairman’s report is not lack of demand worldwide, but general oversupply in the market. BP however, is very well placed to deal with the price downturn as new production streams in Gulf of Mexico are known to be less costly and thus contributes higher to the company’s bottom line. On a global scale the economic growth is seen to be weak in 2016 as well as global GDP growth would be expected to remain lower than 3% overall.

加拿大论文代写:石油市场的预估
There is lower than expected recovery in the oil demand din developing markets on the back of slow growth and recovery in the developed world has yet to peak. Especially, the demand in American market is seen to remain weaker since there is large scale increase in the shale oil production in a few US states like Texas etc. These Shale oil productions won’t be stable and profitable over a long term, but as of now the production is increasing and local production has driven down US demand, which is the largest consumers of energy and fuel related global supplies. Prices are still estimated to remain lower and recovery would be expected to come after 6-8 quarters. The next few quarters are expected to be sluggish price wise and would remain period of extreme changes (Sadorsky, 2001).